Tag Archives: Democratic

CD-9 New York Special Election: Udpdated Results

Bookmark and ShareHere you wil find updated election results for the CD-9 special election in New York. Updates will be provided at least every 10 minutes

 Based on the districts that are reporting in and projections that indicate there is not of enough of a vote to come in from the remaining districts White House 2012 and Politics 24/7 is calling this race for Republican Bob Turner

U.S. House – District 9 – Special General

442 of 512 Precincts Reporting – 86% 

 

Bob Turner                          —   GOP                32,212  — 53%

David Weprin                     —   Dem              27,460    — 46%

Christopher Hoeppner    — SWP                     277        –  0

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Pelosi; The Gift To Republicans That Keeps On Giving

Nancy Pelosi
Minority Leader To Be?

With the decision of Nancy Pelosi to maintain her role as leader of House Democrats, the 2010 midterms elections continue to produce good news for Republicans.

The move is quite frankly a foolishly detrimental one for her Party, a political entity which the American electorate adamantly rejected and which resulted in a record number of Republican victories from the local and state level, to the federal level in the House and Senate. Many of these victories were won in campaigns that made Nancy Pelosi the main issue. Nearly every Republican running for the House, publicly and loudly pointed out to their audiences that the very first vote that their liberal opponent had cast during the last Congress, was for Nancy Pelosi to become their leader. In many debate’s Republican challengers asked “will you or will you not vote for Nancy Pelosi as your leader”? To this, in order to save their reelection chances, quite a few had to answer “no”. Unfortunately for them though, the fact that they once did vote for her, didn’t save many of these candidates. But with approval ratings in the 20’s, it is no surprise that Nancy Pelosi was of no help to any Democrat.

That is why her desire to continue being the face of House Democrats is a bit surprising.

Obviously, the soon to be former Speaker is thinking more about herself than her Party. If she was sincere about wanting what is best for Democrats and what will best help promote the liberal agenda, she would have stepped aside and allowed a new face to be placed on the Democrat Party, a face that was not as disliked and as much of a drag on her Party and its policies.

Of course it has yet to be seen if Nancy will be successful in her bid to be elected Minority Leader. Some Democrats that did squeak by in the 2010 elections, have promised their constituents that they would not vote for Pelosi. In order for that to happen, there must be an alternative candidate to support over her. So who may be so bold as to come forward and offer themselves as that alternative? Well Alabama’s Bobby Bright could be one. He was the first to officially come out in October and declare that he would not support Nancy Pelosi for Speaker. But in August of 2010, after Bright publicly joked that Democrat’s chances in the midterm elections might be better if Pelosi would “get sick and die“, Democrats may not feel too confident in Bright’s ability to say the right things as their leader.

A more realistic challenger may be Heath Shuler, one of the most conservative Democrats in the House. On Thursday, Shuler stated that if Pelosi does actually move to run for Minority Leader, he will challenge her. This should not be news. All through ought Shuler’s very tough reelection effort, he campaigned among his constituents by promising that if Democrats held the House, he would challenge Pelosi for the job of Speaker.

While Shuler is to date, the House Democrat to be most dramatic in his opposition to Pelosi, many others such as Kentucky’s John Yarmuth and Oklahoma’s David Boren are just some of the remaining moderate and conservative Democrats, who still exist in Congress and are also registering their opposition to Pelosi.

But Nancy Pelosi would not have announced the decision to seek her place as Minority Leader unless she had gotten a sense of approval, done a head count of her caucus and concluded that a majority of her colleagues would support her for the job.

This would indicate that the new Democrat minority in the House, is most definitely out of synch with the American people. While most Americans vehemently disapprove of her, the liberal dominated Democrat caucus approves of her. This only demonstrates that the new House minority is going to be an even more radically liberal body than it was this past session. After losing many Blue Dogs and moderates, it is only natural for the liberal establishment to become even more dominant than it was. But this is not good. It is not what the people wanted when they registered their objections to the current ways of the Democrat Party by electing a record number of more conservative Republicans to office.

This is a point which Rep. Shuler consistently brings up when he sates “I can go recruit moderate members to run in swing districts,” and then points out; “In that situation, I could do it better than she could, and that’s what it’s going to take. It’s going to take moderate candidates to win back those seats.

But if Pelosi does prevail, which is more than likely, the problem with her staying as one of the faces of the Party is the fact that Democrats will continue to be represented by another prominent member of their Party which is not too popular out of his home state.

The failure by Republicans to defeat Harry Reid in Nevada means that he will continue to be the face and voice of Democrats in the Senate.

This means that after a midterm elections which rejected the Obama, Reid, Pelosi agenda, Democrats are still going to be led by the architects of that agenda. This will not exactly help create the perception that Democrats have gotten the message that voters sent them on November 2nd.

This situation provides Republicans with an invaluable advantage, an advantage that Democrats could deny them if Nancy Pelosi realized that for the sake of the issues that she believes in, she should pass the baton to a new Democrat leader, one who does not carry the baggage that she does and one that doesn’t symbolize the failed status quo policies that voters just rejected. But when it comes to Democrats, I guess the lesson to be learned here is that you really can’t teach old dogs new tricks. Thankfully though, the American people apparently won’t let themselves be tricked again.

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President Reacts To Election Defeat & Shows He Just Doesn’t Get It

Bookmark and Share   President Obama just doesn’t get it.

In his usual arrogance, he addressed the beating that he, his policies and his Party took in the midterm elections by declaring that the way he sees it , while he made great progress over the past two years, he failed to do a good enough job at proving and explaining it to the people. His explanation for the historic losses of his Party makes clear that what the President really failed at, was to accept the real message the voters sent him last night.

Last night, voters did not tell the President that he hasn’t communicated well enough with them. They told him that they do not want endless spending, out of control government growth and, a massive new government bureaucracy that runs healthcare. Yet President Obama dismisses these conclusion by declaring;

“I don’t think the American people want to see us re-litigate the fights of the past  two years”.

On that, the President is wrong. 

A majority of voters have made it clear that they want Obamacare repealed and replaced.  A majority of voters have made it clear that they do not want anymore government stimulus packages that line the pockets of big union bosses and spend billions on temporary jobs that cost more money to create than they generate.

Voters told the President and his Party that they rejected the policy choices that they rammed through Congress. Voters told him and his Party that they did not like the exaggerated manipulation and abuse of the legislative process that they led. Yet President Obama refuses to accept that and in doing so, despite his once famously telling Senator John McCain that “elections have consequences” , he apparently does not believe those consequences apply to him.

It is becoming increasingly obvious that President Obama feels much more confident talking down to the American electorate than with them. Apparently President Obama is not willing to accept the will of the people and although he now claims to want to work with the new Republican majority in the House, one can’t help but wonder why he wishes to do so now and refused to sincerely do so in the past. Just days ago he called those who oppose his ideas “enemies” and then further offended any sense of bipartisanship by

declaring that Republicans and Democrats can work together but that the Republicans will have to sit in the backseat.

This did not lay the groundwork for a promising working relationship with the new Republican majority, a majority that has stated that their responsibility now is to “to listen to the American people” and carry out their will. If President Obama is unwilling to face the facts, this will put him at odds with the new working majority in the House and at odds with the overwhelming working majority of states and statehouses that a plurality of Americans have given the G.O.P. control of.

As such if President Obama refuses to acknowledge the real message handed to him by the American electorate during the 2010 elections, he risks becoming the individual most responsible for gridlock and a continued tone of divisive partisan politics. What President Obama must realize, and hopefully what the G.O.P. understands, is that when it comes to big government and big spending, Republicans can not compromise. This was the loudest message delivered by the voters on November 2, 2010. Thos issues are the ones which voters gave the G.O.P. a second chance to prove themselves to be true to and for Republicans to compromise on these issues would be a betrayal of the general mandate which produced a record number of Democrat defeats in the House and in statehouses. Republicans have seemingly accepted that and so should President Obama.

So while I urge the new Republican majority to use their first hundred days in office to reach out to Democrats, sincerely find those issues where they share common ground and move on them, I also urge the President and his Party to follow the Republican lead and listen to the people. It is time for him to stop being so doctrinaire and prove that as our President, he is not tone deaf to his fellow Americans.

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The Year of “The Angry Voter” and the Future of the G.O.P.

As Election Day approaches, American voters are not in a good mood. More than 64% agree that the nation is heading in the wrong direction. On the economy, consumer confidence is consistently at one of its lowest points in years, unemployment continues to rise, and more than ever before, Americans are finally believing the issue of our nation’s debt is at a crisis level.

As a result, the Party which controls every legislative chamber of federal government is now facing one of the most abrupt falls from political power that we have ever seen. In 2008, Democrats rode a wave of change. Creating that wave was Barack Obama, a new presence in politics who convincingly argued that with him at the helm, he would lead Democrats in “transforming America”. From Berlin, Germany to Bayonne, New Jersey, Senator Obama traveled the globe and the nation and painted a picture of a new and improved America, an America that was loved by all the world and that lifted the quality of all our lives. He promised to provide us all with better healthcare, financial wealth, inexpensive, cleaner energy, the best education and a less partisan political atmosphere that would unite us rather than divide us.

Instead what they got was not just the opposite, it was so antithetical to that promise that people are not just angry, they are offended.

Instead of real bipartisanship, the nation has seen the major issues of the day turned into  an audaciously corrupt and intensely partisan process that closed it doors to any differences of opinion. Instead of financial wealth, they have seen less business growth, less jobs, increased federal spending, higher prices, economic uncertainty and by year‘s end, record tax increases. And in the case of healthcare instead of seeing any meaningful reforms, they have seen it turned into a government bureaucracy that is raising costs more than lowering them. In fact, on virtually every signature issue of President Obama and the Democrat Congress, such as stimulus spending, the healthcare law and the bailouts, most voters oppose reelecting anyone who supported them.

In general, Democrats have done nothing to instill confidence in their leadership and vision for America. In fact, it is just the opposite and it happens to be their ‘signature’ issues, their top priorities, which have produced not only a lack of confidence in them, but a backlash of anger against them.

The healthcare bill, and the way in which Democrats rammed it through, highlighted all that Americans hate about politics and all that they feel is wrong with how business is done in Washington, D.C.. It was a process that revealed how the bills they vote on, go unread and how it closed the door to the Republicans, and even went so far as to shut down opposing views by asking Americans to report to the names and sources behind arguments which refuted the Democrat’s position on the issue. They asked that such dissention be reported to them at flag@whitehouse.gov, an assault on freedom eerily similar to that of the German National Socialist Party as it began to takeover Germany.

The process also highlighted numerous backroom deals that bought the votes of wavering Democrats at a cost of hundreds of millions of dollars each. And in perhaps what was one of the most astonishing shows of just out of touch Democrats are, they spent an entire year focusing on ramming through their unpopular government takeover of healthcare, at a time when the economy was the top issue on the minds of Americans.

Today, the economy is still the top issue in the minds of most, but as demonstrated by their focus on healthcare reform, the White House and Democrat led Congress, nproved themselves to be out of touch and ineffective on. But even more than that, the one solution that they consistently offer to solve our economic troubles is turning out to be a another problem of its own which they fail face up to…… spending.

To every issue, their solution is spending. But spending has now gotten so obviously out of control that average Americans who understands that 2 plus 2 equals 4, have become offended by this liberal mentality that hopes people will believe that more money out of their pockets will allow government to put more money into their pockets. This offensive notion has only been compounded by the Democrat approach to all issues and problems which also calls for more government.

People are waking up to the realization that more government costs more money. They understand that a healthcare bill which creates over 127 new government agencies, department and bureaus does little to drive down healthcare costs and much to, among other things, increase costs.

Combined with that fact that the exaggerated growth of government and government spending is doing nothing to improve the economy and in fact is doing just the opposite, what you have is a new voter demographic. It is not a demographic identified by race, religion, or geographic region. It is not a demographic identified by age, or life conditions. It can’t be described as “Soccer Moms”, “Reagan Democrats” or “Yuppies”. It is a demographic that crosses all divides and unites a profoundly large portion of the electorate in 2012. It is the demographic of “Angry Voters”.

In the Republican Revolution of 1994, credit for the political turnaround of that time was credited to what pundits penned as “Angry White Men”. They claimed that white men were fed up and felt threatened by the rise of women and minorities in society and took it out on democrats. These pundits were as wrong then as those who try to play the race card anytime President Obama must face legitimate criticism today. In ‘94, the revolt away from Democrats largely began when President Clinton gave First Lady Hillary Clinton the responsibility for reforming healthcare with a plan that would have government take it over. That move did not suddenly unite white men again Democrats and it did not motivate African-Americans to come out and support them. It had nothing to with sex or color and everything to do with federal overreach.

Fast forward 16 years and history is repeating itself.

In 2010 Americans are seeing a dramatically exaggerated display of government largess which is leading to a government that is growing too much, spending too much, controlling too much and failing too much. It is the failings and the overreach of Democrats which is what is behind the Republican Rejuvenation of 2010. In 2008, politicos and the left wing of American politics touted the demise of the G.O.P.. Some political prognosticators claimed that the Republican Party was dead for a generation or more. Others claimed it had gone the way of the Whigs. As usual, they were wrong. But this is not to the credit of Republicans. The Republican bounce back has less to do with them and everything to do with Democrats.

Democrats have so offended the senses of rational thought in mainstream America, that the average person has become “angry”. So much so that even those who care little for Republicans, are willingly holding their noses to vote the Republican ticket, simply to register their disgust with government and the Democrats controlling it. And all of these people have become the “Angry Voter” demographic that is about to undo the liberal overreach of the past 20 months which has simply highlighted and brought to the forefront, all that Americans see wrong with government.

I would suggest that I could be wrong, but if I were, Republicans would not be preferred over Democrats by 48% to 39% of likely voters, a dramatic turnaround from 2008. If I was wrong, voters would not be trusting Republicans more than Democrats on 8 out of 10 key issues. If I was wrong, 78% of mainstream voters would not be claiming that they prefer fewer services and lower taxes.

If I was wrong. West Virginia’s overwhelmingly popular Democrat Governor would be far ahead of his Republican opponent in the race replace the late Robert Byrd in the Senate. However, despite the fact that voters in West Virginia love Governor Manchin, they are skeptical of sending another Democrat to Washington, D.C., where the last thing they want is to provide additional support to take the nation in the wrong direction that they feel Democrats are leading us in.

Americans are fed up. They feel hoodwinked by a President who promised to unite us but has only successful polarized us. They feel swindled by a Congress that promised a healthcare bill that would lower costs, but is already raising premiums. They feel swindled by a government that is taking more freedoms away than they are protecting. They feel betrayed by a federal government that will sue a sovereign American state in order to allow the free flow of illegal immigration in America. They are angered by a White House that promised to not conduct business as usual, only to demonstrate that they are conducting business worse than usual.

These are the reasons why Democrats are losing voters since 2008. It is why more voters are again beginning to identify themselves as Republicans than as Democrats. It is also why many Democrats are not even coming out to vote and why Democrats are on scheduled to suffer some of the most significant losses in decades. 20 months after promising the world to voters and inspiring and motivating millions of young and first time voters to the polls, Democrats under Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and President Obama, have not only disappointed them, they have embarrassed them and successfully discouraged those new voters from showing their support for Democrats again in 2010. And what’s more is, they have so alienated so many, that new group of young and first time voters are now inspired to come out to vote against them.

In 2008, Republicans presented little reason to vote for them and in many cases, were already seeing the signs of disenchantment from their own base of support. But now, in 2010, although Republicans have done little to change that, Democrats have successfully embarrassed their own base, turned disenchantment into downright anger and chased voters back into the arms of the Republican Party. From here on out it will be up to the G.O.P. to prove that they have gotten the message which they strayed away from and cost them dearly in 2008. If they fail to, I predict that a third Party will begin to rise.

From the TEA movement, arguably, the most influential political force of the last year, we will see an independent ideological division of voters significant enough to not merely influence the selection of candidates in the primary elections of both major Parties, but one so potent and so disgusted with the failure of both major Parties, that it will naturally rise to the forefront. Ultimately, this would be to the benefit of the Democrat Party, for this new breed of anger voters is united behind principles which are largely encompassed by the Republican Party but seemingly ignored by the political establishment of the Party.

These angry voters are beholden not to any Party. They are ruled by a commitment to the Constitution and three core achievements ……. less government, less spending and, more liberty. By the very nature of today’s contemporary Democrat Party, those goals contradict with the liberal faith in an activist government which seeks to regulate more, provide more services, oversee more, and spend more to do so. For that reason, if Republicans fail to represent the total opposite of what Democrats offer, this new breed of angry of voters is far too fed up to reverse the current trend, jump back to Democrats and put them back in power. Instead they will continue to reject the modern Democrat Party, turn their back on the G.O.P. once and for all, draw votes away from them and make it possible for the smaller number of left leaning supporters to build up a coalition of enough votes to compromise slim electoral victories for Democrats in local, state and national, three way elections.

For this reason, it is with trepidation that I look forward to November 2nd. I fear that the G.O.P. may not fully be ready to lead as it should. Thanks to Democrats, the Republican Rejuvenation of 2010 is coming to the the G.O.P. leadership  far too easily. I fear that the wrong leadership in the Republican Party will take this victory for granted. If they do, Democrats and the liberal ideology that most Americans do not agree with or have faith in, will once again be advanced much too far for their liking. If Republicans fail to adhere to a hard-line on states rights, a constitutional limited government, limited spending and a social agenda that does not invade privacy and individual rights, they may not go the way of the Whigs, but they could find themselves enduring many years of hard fought elections that produce the same type of electoral success that John McCain saw in 2008.

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Presidential Seal Falls As Fast As President Obama’s Poll Numbers

Bookmark and Share     You just can’t create better symbolism than this,  but amid a midterm election season that is about see Democrats drop like flies and is seeing faith in President Obama and his policies drop like a ton of bricks, while delivering a speech at the Carnegie Mellon Auditorium in Washington for Fortune magazine’s “Most Powerful Women Summit” , the Great Seal of the President of the United States which adorns every podium that all Presidents speak from, fell off and crashed to the ground in a raucous clatter.  

For his part, President Obama did handle the situation quite well, especially given how there were no words on his teleprompter to dictate to him how to handle the impromptu interruption.  As the Great Seal fell off in mid sentence, President Obama  uttered an “oops” as he leaned over, looked on the ground at the fallen seal and stated, “That’s alright.  All of you know who I am”.  The President then quipped about how although it was alright, he was sure someone on staff was sweating bullets over the mishap.

The incident though brings to mind the often touted Murphy’s Law which describes the 2010 midterms for Democrats perfectly as it claims that anything that can possibly go wrong, does.  

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O’Donnell Ad Makes Democrats Look Like The Nut Jobs Here

Bookmark and Share   With  simple and subtle melodic notes of a piano, a gentle tilt of the head and a soft, soothing voice that utters the words “I’m you”, Christine O’Donnell makes the left look like fools and turns the hate filled rhetoric, smear campaign tactics and wild chargesof Democrats into the seemingly irrational acts of madmen desperate to win an election at any cost.

That is essentially what Christine O’Donnell’s does in just 30 short seconds with her new camapign ad.

With a sedate background of gently glowing light , O’Donnell looks directly into the camera and delivers a punch to the gut of the liberal campaign against  her as she softly, slowly and sweetly  states;

“I’m not a witch,” “I’m nothing you’ve heard. I’m you.

None of us are perfect, but none of us can be happy with what we see all around us, politicians who think spending, trading favors and backroom deals are the ways to stay in office.

I’ll go to Washington and do what you’d do.

I’m Christine O’Donnell, and I approve this message.

I’m you.”

The ad is an ingeniously simple way to counter the inundation of national, liberal, venom that is being spat into the small state of Delaware as Democrats desperately seek to maintain their majority in the Senate as they give up the hope of mainting the majority in the House.

The content, timing and strategy of the ad, should make Democrats rethink their previously held belief that now that Mike Castle isn’t the Republican nominee, they will maintain Joe Biden’s long held slot in the Senate. afterall.  The new O’Donnell does everything that it should and takes advantage of every characteristic  and quality that O’Donnell has but the Democrat candidate lacks.

O’Donnell comes off in this ad as the type of sweet girl whom you would want to defend, not attack.  That in turn makes the fact that Democrats who are forcing this cherubic like figure to deny that she is a witch, an offensive and obsurd notion that could only be made by people who are even more irrational than they try to claim O’Donnell is.

Then with the tables turned and Democrats looking like the lunatics, O’Donnel carries the voter off with her into a world of commonsense that strikes directly at the heart of the anti-establishment, anti-business as usual sentiment that is stirring a backlash against the Democrat majorities that control the federal government and are wreaking havoc with the nation.

In thirty seconds, not only does this add deflect the wild descriptions of O’Donnell away from her, it turns the table and makes her opponents look like the irrational extremists and then it wraps things up by going a step further and makes voters relate to her in a way that has them believing that she is one of them while the irrational Democrats are the ones against them.

But one of the most important things about this ad is the timing.

By  putting it out early, I am convinced that G.O.P. will not make the mistakes that they have with other campaigns when they allowed the opposition to define them.  The timing of this “Im With You” ad shows me that they are getting out there early to define Christine O’Donnel before the left has the chance to do it for them.  Now, if O’Donnell can keep turning the tables and keep convincing voters that she is one of them, all she will need to do is shock everyone with a command of the issues that will make voters say, ‘Hey, this girl is sharp”.  Once that happens, a majority of just enough Delawarians may find O’Donnell just the right breath of freshair that they want to send to Washington and blow the political polution away with.

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Big Differences Between Socialist Rallies and Conservative Protests

Bookmark and Share    This past weekend the left held what was considered a reactionary rally in Washington D.C. that was viewed by many as a response to the more than year long trend of TEA Party rallies which were held throughout the nation and seem to be culminating in a Election Day that will ignite the establishment of a conservative rebirth of sorts. The entity behind the rally was actually an umbrella group of left wing organizations and radical socialist affiliations combined with the leadership of many big unions, most notably, the SEIU and NEA.

National Mall After A TEA Party Rally

The speakers were a grab bag of obscure self described revolutionaries and Democrat loyalists of the most liberal persuasion. They included people such as New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez, NAACP President Ben Jealous, the Rev. Al Sharpton, MSNBC commentator Ed Schultz, Rev. Jesse Jackson, AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, rapper Black Ice, NEA President Randy Weingarten, Urban League President Marc Morial, United Auto Workers chief Bob King and president of the Service Employees International Union, Mary Kay Henry.

National Mall After the Liberal One Nation Working Together Rally

In a strange hypocritical twist though, Democrats did not accuse the thousands of people who joined their rally by taking busses paid for by unions and liberal entities behind the Democrat Party, of being “astroturfers”. For some reason, the union paid and organized energy of the left is real, but the independent efforts of conservative thinking people are described by Democrats as fake .

For months the left has tried to define the TEA movement as a Republican attempt to exaggerate disenchantment with Democrat policies. But the vast majority of the hundreds of thousands that attended last year‘s, 9/12 rally in D.C. were not paid for by the money of the big union CEO’s, or national liberal propaganda machines. Those who attended the 9/12 rally from places like San Diego, California and Helena, Montana or Clearwater Florida and Roanoake, Virginia, packed their own cars or paid for their own bus tickets with the money they earned.

But the hypocrisy of the left aside, there were several important differences between the character and ideological thinking of the TEA movement and liberal activists.

While the professional politically organized One Nation Working Together rally heard speaker after speaker call upon the federal government to answer all our problems, the citizen organized rallies of the TEA movement heard speaker after speaker discuss the need for accountability, personal responsibility, and for the federal government to stop causing all our problems.

The different approaches help highlight my reason for equating today’s liberal dominated Democrat Party with socialism, a political system that would have production and distribution controlled by the government in the name of the people but without actually being done by the people. And few events helped prove my point more than the one Nation Working Together, big union gathering we saw this past weekend.

In many ways, the event and its participants celebrated and promoted one thing—–socialism. And not just indirectly. As evidence in the video below, it was proudly and blatantly promoted in blunt, straightforward language. But aside from the extreme ideological differences in the crowds of the One Nation rally and the TEA Party protests, were the size of the crowds and the character of those in attendance.

Despite the union paid busses and organized drive of The One Nation Working Together get out the vote rally, all of the TEA protests in D.C. since 9/12 of last year, produced incredibly larger numbers than did the One Nation event. This exemplifies the enthusiasm gap that exists between the left and right as we approach Election Day. But another telling detail was the condition that the left wing One Nation rally and the conservative TEA protests left the respective locations of their events when they were done.

In the case of the much larger TEA events, it has actually been said that when the crowds at each one of their events left, the locations they gathered at were left cleaner than they were before the TEA activists arrived. Not so for the liberal rally though. After their small group of dedicated socialists left the Mall, it was strewn with litter ranging from hate filled pamphlets calling for socialist revolution, to hand written signs blaming the President of two years ago for the Obama economy of today.  (See below)

The difference here measures the mindset of the two different groups. The conservative based TEA activists who want less government control, took it upon themselves to be clean and clean up after themselves. The union based liberal establishment which is demanding that government do more and control more of our lives, disrespectfully discarded their waste on the ground of wherever they stood and left it behind to be cleaned up by ‘government‘. But what these callous, careless and thoughtless group of paid, hypocritical hacks neglected to realize was that the mess they were leaving for the government to clean up was actually being done so by their fellow workers of America and unionized public service workers.

The situation exemplifies the thinking behind each ideology. One ideology seeks to be respectful and decent as they act responsibly. The other side acts with irresponsible disregard for others and a despicably disrespectful . One side, the conservative side, cleans up, while the other side, the liberal side, leaves a mess behind. For me, the symbolism is a powerful reference to not only how divergent the Democrat and Republican ideologies are, but of which one offers a better model for success in America.

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The 2010 Midterm Elections Will Be Worse For Dems Than Expected

"Republican Party Elephant" logo

G.O.P.

Bookmark and Share    This November is going to be quite a dramatic reversal of fortunes for Democrats and while some on the left are trying to claim that the Republican hopes for retaking the House are unwarranted and deny that we are in a wave election, there is actually no realistic basis for such claims. The surging force behind Republicans in 2010 is undeniable.   As indicated by Gallup, the Republican Party is polling incredibly well among voters on a number of factors including  party identification, voter preferences among independents, and even candidate preferences, and the G.O.P. has also retaken the lead on the generic ballot.

Furthermore; Republicans are now either comparable with, or surpassing Democrats on everything from voter enthusiasm and an increased online presence, to fundraising and a growing number of boots on the ground, grass root volunteers. For one of the first times in recent history, young Republican voters are expected to turn out in larger numbers than young Democrat voters. College Republicans have even jumped to a point in popularity and fundraising that is allowing them to go national with ads and target several key states on 2010.

When it comes to the large gap in internet presence and fundraising that existed between the left and right in 2008, in 2010 the trend has totally reversed. The first signs of this became evident 11 months ago when Scott Brown raised nearly $10 million online in all of 18 days. Now, we have seen other examples of internet success in such candidates as Sharron Angle and Christine O’Donnell who raised more than $1 million online in the 24 hours after their primary wins. All of this is a sign of two things. The G.O.P. has finally gained parity with the Democrats in the use of the internet and that the collective strength of the G.O.P.‘s grassroots is becoming increasingly more important than any strengths of particular candidates or their campaigns.

All of this points to a shifting of the political earththat is far greater than we saw in 1994.

Rarely has a political Party comeback as quickly as the Republican Party is poised to do this November. Normally, it takes much more than two years to bounce back from the type of  losses that they suffered first in 2006 and then again in 2008.

It is accurate to say though, that the climb back to power for the G.O.P. is based less on the voters goodwill towards Republicans and more on the ill will that they have come to feel towards Democrats. Which leads me to wonder about something.

 Between 2006 and 2010, neither Party seemed to be held in any great esteem, yet why was there not any great move to finally create that perennially promised, almighty, and perfect third Party that we always hear dissatisfied voters talk about?

Although there has so far been a strong ripple of anti-incumbent sentiment out there,  we did not see the rise of that much hoped for third Party alternative. We did however see a powerful anti-big government movement infiltrate the process and greatly influence the field of Republicans running in 2010.

I believe that this is all largely due to the efforts of the Democrat Party more than the Republican Party.

The Party in power has overreached the mandate they thought they had in 2008. They even misread their significant wins in 2008 and assumed that the nation was actually desirous of an aggressive big government agenda. But in fact, they weren’t. The reason for the 2008 victory, led by the top of Democrat ticket with Barack Obama, was a phenomenon similar to the one that is giving rise to the Republican resurgence of 2010. Voters were voting against the Party in power.

This is what happens when voters are dissatisfied. They seek change……..the very same theme that candidate Obama successfully banked on in ’08.

Another key to the Democrat victories of 2008 was the excitement over the novelty of the historic chance to elect the nation’s first partially black President.  And last but not least was the fact that the G.O.P. ran a weak nominee at the top ticket who failed to energize the base and failed to prove that republicanism under him, would be any different from the republicanism seen under G.W. Bush and the existing Republican leadership in Congress.

So change was born. But as we have come to see, the change that Democrats have run with, is not the change that Americans are satisfied with. As a result, the political pendulum is now swinging back in the opposite direction. But it is swinging with a vengeance. Between incredible Democrat overreach, and an explosion of exaggerated government growth, spending and deficit increases, Democrats have polarized the electorate far more than did the Republicans who after a few years in power, slowly but surely forgot their commitment to limited government and less spending.

But it is clear now that most Americans believe in the basic Republican ideology of less government, less taxes and less spending. That is why rather than seeing a surge for third Party candidacies, you have seen a rush towards cleaning out the Republican Party of those whom have drifted away from those principles and failed to stand up for them responsibly and consistently.

We are now seeing one of those rare occasions when a large majority of voters are actually pushing an ideology more than a candidate. That is what the TEA Party movement is all about. They are pushing a cause more than Party politics and as such they are helping to return the G.O.P. back to its true conservative roots by ridding it of so-called RINO’s.

But if the G.O.P. is to continue its rise back to power into 2012 and beyond, they will have to prove to the voters that some lessons have been learned. 

Given that President Obama will still be President on the morning after November 2, 2010, and that the Senate will likely still be in Democrat control, albeit with a new Majority Leader, the G.O.P. House will have to hold firm in rejecting any compromises that err on the side of increased spending, and increased government overreach.

This will prompt charges of being obstructionists and cries that attempt to describe Republicans as the “Party of no” by those on the left, but it is important to remember that those initiating such remarks are not likely to ever support Republicans anyway. But if the G.O.P. aggressively offers solid alternatives while rejecting the President’s, and the Senate’s big government, liberal agenda, people will maintain faith in the new face of the G.O.P. and that ‘Party of no” description will continue to fall on deaf ears.

When the G.O.P takes back the House, they will have to prove that they are actually ready to fight for the values that are providing them with the momentum that they currently have behind them. This will especially be the case in matters of spending and the budget, since the House, more so then the Senate controls the purse strings of the federal government.  If they flinch, and if they fail to keep their noses clean and deliver on their promised commitments, their will be little enthusiasm from the grassroots to maintain the level of support that they are currently placing behind the G.O.P..

Republicans will also have to remember a few things. First they must make sure that each issue is connected to government’s role in the everyday lives of Americans. They need to consistently demonstrate how big government is expanding its control over our personal lives but at the sake of properly dealing with its actual responsibilities such as providing a secure border and finally developing comprehensive immigration reform or balancing the federal  budget. And they must keep each of these messages simple. The same way Ronald Reagan did in both 1980 and 1984, as demonstrated in the following 1984 Reagan campaign campaign ad:

 

Keeping it simple brings it home and in 1984 Reagan brought it home with a sweep of 49 states to Mondale’s 1.

But before we get to presidential politics as it pertains to 2012, we have to establish the point from which the G.O.P. will start from after 2o10.  At the moment it looks like Republicans could far surpass the expectations of many in both the House and the Senate .

Based upon the circumstances that exist today and my own estimation of how things will play out in the individual landscapes of several hotly contested states, I see the senate tied at with 50 Republicans and the 48 Democrats plus the two left leaning Independents who caucus with the Democrats.  This includes Retaining seats in Alaska, Arizona, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Idaho,Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Utah while picking up seats in;

  • Arkansas   (John Boozman over Blanche Lincoln)
  • Colorado    (Ken Buck over Mike Bennet)
  • Illinois       (Mark Kirk over Alexi Giannoulias)
  • Indiana      (Dan Coats over Brad Ellsworth)
  • Nevada       (Susan Angle over Harry Reid)
  • North Dakota    (John Hoeven over Tracy Potter)
  • Pennsylvania     (Pat Toomey over Joe Sestak)
  • Washington     (Dino Rossi over Patty Murray)
  • Wisconsin      (Ron Johnson over Russ Feingold)

However; there are several possibilities which increase the likelihood of a Republican takeover of the Senate.

Any one of three races could keep Joe Biden from breaking any tie vote.  Delaware, West Virginia and/or California could very easily go Republican. 

With the surprise win by a rather large margin of Christine O’Donnell over heavily favored Mike Castle, it is not of the question to believe that under the existing anti-left atmosphere and prevailing momentum,  O’Donnell could pull off another surprise and take the seat away from the media annointed frontrunner Chris Coons.  But even more possible than a Republican upset in delaware are the possible ones that are in the making inCalifornia and surprisingly, West Virginia.

In West Virginia, popular Democrat incumbent Governor Joe Mancin was originally seen as a shoo-in. He is one of those truly rare relative moderate Democrats and as a long serving Governor of the state he has done well by its voters and bonded with them extensively. Especially after a string of mining disasters that hit this coal mining state pretty hard and very personally. But it would seem that winds of disenchantment with anything relating to Democrats are blowing so strongly against them that even Mancin’s personal relationship with voters is being severely curtailed when it comes to sending him to Washington, D.C.. For that reason, his Republican opponent John Raese went from nearly 33% at the end of July to 48% at the end of September while during that same time period, the popular Mancin went from 54% to 46% where he currently stands 2% behind underdog Raese.

The race is sure to be close and right now it can easily go either way but I believe the Republicans can pull this one off and at the moment I believe they will squeak it out.

In California, I can’t underestimate Barbara Boxer.

In her last race for the Senate, back in 2004, she beat her Republican opponent by 20% and became the holder of the record for the most popular votes in a statewide contested election in California. But this time around, things are not so easy and she wont be breaking any records with her popular vote this time around.

She currently has a disapproval rating higher than her approval rating, one of the largest newspapers in the state has refused to endorse because they believe that after 18 years in the Senate she has failed to distinguish herself in any meaningful way and that they see no reason to believe that she will do with another 6 years in office.

But this is California, a state that President Obama won by 24% or more than 3.2 million votes. But in addition to that, something else that could work in Boxer’s favor this time around is a statewide proposition to legalize marijuana. That ballot question could draw many Democrats who otherwise were not interested in voting this time around, to the polls and while there, they just might push the button for Boxer.

For her part though. Republican Carly Fiorina is holding her own, has all the money she needs to keep pushing her message and pulling out her vote and at the moment, while she is behind Boxer, by less than 6 percent, Boxer is still under the 50% mark, a place that no incumbent should be in this close to the election.

Anyone of these three seats could easily break for the Republican and give control of the Senate back to the G.O.P. and the possibility of this happening increases each day that we get closer to Election Day. But even if neither Delaware, California or West Virginia fail to Republicans, with a 50/50 split it is quite conceivable that any one of handful of Democrats could switch Parties or in the case of Independent Joe Lieberman, decide to causcus with the Republicans instead of the Democrats.

On the House side, Republican victories are even more lopsided than they are in the Senate.

In the House of Representatives Republicans could possibly end up with the largest number of seats they have held since 1946 when the GOP won 246 seats. Currently it looks like the G.O.P. can actually win at least 62 seats, thereby breaking the House down to 241 Republicans and 194 Democrats. This projection is much higher than most estimates being publicly announced which, for the most part range in the 40’s. But my projection still falls below that of Patrick Ruffini a reputable and leading G.O.P. strategist who has been in the trenches for quite some time now. Ruffiini believes that the figure will certainly be somewhere over 50 seats but believes a 70 seat gain is not out of the question.

No matter what, the results of the midterm elections will produce profound changes in the direction of policy and at the very least change the pace of the Obama agenda .

But there remains an aspect of the 2010 midterm elections which is being overshadowed by the anticipated turnover in Congress and it could have an more even more important long term effect on politics.

That is the 37 gubernatorial elections being held throughout the nation. Of them Republicans are expected to pick up at least 8 new statehouses bringing them from 23 where they are currently at, to 31, leaving Democrats with Governors in only 19 states.

That number is profoundly important because in 2011 the once every decade census data is poured over by the states and with they draw the new the state legislative a congressional districts lines from which Americans will elect their representatives for the decade to come. Having Governors in 31 states, will give the G.O.P. an advantage in drawing districts that it will be easier to elect Republicans in.

But in addition to that, Governors can play a crucial role in presidential elections.

There ability to coordinate their states for national candidates is invaluable and having that advantage over Democrats in almost a dozen states, will give whomever the Republican presidential nominee is a leg up over President Obama in 2012. Of course if 2010 proves to be as devastating for Democrats as it is looking, President Obama may not be the Democrat nominee. I feel that if Democrat losses are as profound as they are shaping up to be, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will resign her post and in time declare that she will offer a primary challenge to President Obama in order to save the Democratic Party and the nation from him.

Of course it only takes one world event to turn things around and in politics 5 weeks is an eternity. But if things continue going as they are right now, Democrats are going to descend into the political wilderness for years to come and President Obama is going to be a one term President who Republican can thank for bringing them back to power and whom Democrats will blame for squandering their opportunity to maintain control of Washington for years to come. 

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Democrats Did More Than Destroy The Economy

Bookmark and Share    With a few weeks left before the 2010 midterm elections, it is important for American voters to remember who is on their side. To do that, it is important to point out that Democrats are not simply destroying our economy with their “War on Free Enterprise, but on many other issues such as that of illegal immigration and our border.

Instead of discouraging illegal immigration, they have actual proposed what they call a Dream Act, a policy and program that would actually encourage illegal immigration.

Instead of cracking down on Sanctuary Cities that provide cover and a safe havens for illegal immigrants, Democrats have decalred a “War Against Arizona which attempts to sue the people of Arizona and isolate them with boycotts.

The following ad demonstrates just whose side Democrats are on when it comes to the American border.

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High Digital IQ May Make GOP Big Winnners in November

Bookmark and Share     Digital IQ.. ……According to NYU Professor of Marketing, Scott Galloway and Doug Guthrie, the Dean of George Washington University School of Business, the phrase Digital IQ refers to an individual’s online competence and their presence on websites, social media following and sentiment, digital marketing aptitude and search engine optimization skills.

The two have established that, in politics, a high Digital IQ for candidates or elected officials, shows a natural liking and popularity for those candidates.

So Galloway and Guthrie performed an analysis of the 100 members of the United States Senate. The study revealed that Republican Senators are much more adept at their use of the internet than their Democrat counterparts and they have much greater social networking exposure than do Democrats.

In fact, the Galloway-Guthrie study showed that Republicans have an average Digital IQ 5.5 that is 5.5 points higher than Democrats.

What does this mean?

It means that more people are interested in and supportive of Republican senators than Democrat senators. It means that there are more people passing along their “Tweets”, “licking” their Facebook statuses and book marking stories about them. That in essence means that Republicans tend to be more popular on the internet than Democrats.

Some believe that Digital IQ’s are a precursor of elections, in that, much like polls, or fundraising, they are indication of voter sentiment and the level of enthusiasm that exists for candidates and elected officials

According to Galloway, “Social media gives voice to people’s preferences and intentions, demonstrating the affinity for candidates and ideas. As a forward-looking indicator, social media following may be a crystal ball for what will happen in the voting booth this November, and it’s looking very red,” said Galloway.

So it would seem that with higher IQ’s than Democrats, digital and otherwise, Republicans are now showing themselves to be ahead of the curve and in the polls.

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