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O’Donnell Ad Makes Democrats Look Like The Nut Jobs Here

Bookmark and Share   With  simple and subtle melodic notes of a piano, a gentle tilt of the head and a soft, soothing voice that utters the words “I’m you”, Christine O’Donnell makes the left look like fools and turns the hate filled rhetoric, smear campaign tactics and wild chargesof Democrats into the seemingly irrational acts of madmen desperate to win an election at any cost.

That is essentially what Christine O’Donnell’s does in just 30 short seconds with her new camapign ad.

With a sedate background of gently glowing light , O’Donnell looks directly into the camera and delivers a punch to the gut of the liberal campaign against  her as she softly, slowly and sweetly  states;

“I’m not a witch,” “I’m nothing you’ve heard. I’m you.

None of us are perfect, but none of us can be happy with what we see all around us, politicians who think spending, trading favors and backroom deals are the ways to stay in office.

I’ll go to Washington and do what you’d do.

I’m Christine O’Donnell, and I approve this message.

I’m you.”

The ad is an ingeniously simple way to counter the inundation of national, liberal, venom that is being spat into the small state of Delaware as Democrats desperately seek to maintain their majority in the Senate as they give up the hope of mainting the majority in the House.

The content, timing and strategy of the ad, should make Democrats rethink their previously held belief that now that Mike Castle isn’t the Republican nominee, they will maintain Joe Biden’s long held slot in the Senate. afterall.  The new O’Donnell does everything that it should and takes advantage of every characteristic  and quality that O’Donnell has but the Democrat candidate lacks.

O’Donnell comes off in this ad as the type of sweet girl whom you would want to defend, not attack.  That in turn makes the fact that Democrats who are forcing this cherubic like figure to deny that she is a witch, an offensive and obsurd notion that could only be made by people who are even more irrational than they try to claim O’Donnell is.

Then with the tables turned and Democrats looking like the lunatics, O’Donnel carries the voter off with her into a world of commonsense that strikes directly at the heart of the anti-establishment, anti-business as usual sentiment that is stirring a backlash against the Democrat majorities that control the federal government and are wreaking havoc with the nation.

In thirty seconds, not only does this add deflect the wild descriptions of O’Donnell away from her, it turns the table and makes her opponents look like the irrational extremists and then it wraps things up by going a step further and makes voters relate to her in a way that has them believing that she is one of them while the irrational Democrats are the ones against them.

But one of the most important things about this ad is the timing.

By  putting it out early, I am convinced that G.O.P. will not make the mistakes that they have with other campaigns when they allowed the opposition to define them.  The timing of this “Im With You” ad shows me that they are getting out there early to define Christine O’Donnel before the left has the chance to do it for them.  Now, if O’Donnell can keep turning the tables and keep convincing voters that she is one of them, all she will need to do is shock everyone with a command of the issues that will make voters say, ‘Hey, this girl is sharp”.  Once that happens, a majority of just enough Delawarians may find O’Donnell just the right breath of freshair that they want to send to Washington and blow the political polution away with.

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The 2010 Midterm Elections Will Be Worse For Dems Than Expected

"Republican Party Elephant" logo

G.O.P.

Bookmark and Share    This November is going to be quite a dramatic reversal of fortunes for Democrats and while some on the left are trying to claim that the Republican hopes for retaking the House are unwarranted and deny that we are in a wave election, there is actually no realistic basis for such claims. The surging force behind Republicans in 2010 is undeniable.   As indicated by Gallup, the Republican Party is polling incredibly well among voters on a number of factors including  party identification, voter preferences among independents, and even candidate preferences, and the G.O.P. has also retaken the lead on the generic ballot.

Furthermore; Republicans are now either comparable with, or surpassing Democrats on everything from voter enthusiasm and an increased online presence, to fundraising and a growing number of boots on the ground, grass root volunteers. For one of the first times in recent history, young Republican voters are expected to turn out in larger numbers than young Democrat voters. College Republicans have even jumped to a point in popularity and fundraising that is allowing them to go national with ads and target several key states on 2010.

When it comes to the large gap in internet presence and fundraising that existed between the left and right in 2008, in 2010 the trend has totally reversed. The first signs of this became evident 11 months ago when Scott Brown raised nearly $10 million online in all of 18 days. Now, we have seen other examples of internet success in such candidates as Sharron Angle and Christine O’Donnell who raised more than $1 million online in the 24 hours after their primary wins. All of this is a sign of two things. The G.O.P. has finally gained parity with the Democrats in the use of the internet and that the collective strength of the G.O.P.‘s grassroots is becoming increasingly more important than any strengths of particular candidates or their campaigns.

All of this points to a shifting of the political earththat is far greater than we saw in 1994.

Rarely has a political Party comeback as quickly as the Republican Party is poised to do this November. Normally, it takes much more than two years to bounce back from the type of  losses that they suffered first in 2006 and then again in 2008.

It is accurate to say though, that the climb back to power for the G.O.P. is based less on the voters goodwill towards Republicans and more on the ill will that they have come to feel towards Democrats. Which leads me to wonder about something.

 Between 2006 and 2010, neither Party seemed to be held in any great esteem, yet why was there not any great move to finally create that perennially promised, almighty, and perfect third Party that we always hear dissatisfied voters talk about?

Although there has so far been a strong ripple of anti-incumbent sentiment out there,  we did not see the rise of that much hoped for third Party alternative. We did however see a powerful anti-big government movement infiltrate the process and greatly influence the field of Republicans running in 2010.

I believe that this is all largely due to the efforts of the Democrat Party more than the Republican Party.

The Party in power has overreached the mandate they thought they had in 2008. They even misread their significant wins in 2008 and assumed that the nation was actually desirous of an aggressive big government agenda. But in fact, they weren’t. The reason for the 2008 victory, led by the top of Democrat ticket with Barack Obama, was a phenomenon similar to the one that is giving rise to the Republican resurgence of 2010. Voters were voting against the Party in power.

This is what happens when voters are dissatisfied. They seek change……..the very same theme that candidate Obama successfully banked on in ’08.

Another key to the Democrat victories of 2008 was the excitement over the novelty of the historic chance to elect the nation’s first partially black President.  And last but not least was the fact that the G.O.P. ran a weak nominee at the top ticket who failed to energize the base and failed to prove that republicanism under him, would be any different from the republicanism seen under G.W. Bush and the existing Republican leadership in Congress.

So change was born. But as we have come to see, the change that Democrats have run with, is not the change that Americans are satisfied with. As a result, the political pendulum is now swinging back in the opposite direction. But it is swinging with a vengeance. Between incredible Democrat overreach, and an explosion of exaggerated government growth, spending and deficit increases, Democrats have polarized the electorate far more than did the Republicans who after a few years in power, slowly but surely forgot their commitment to limited government and less spending.

But it is clear now that most Americans believe in the basic Republican ideology of less government, less taxes and less spending. That is why rather than seeing a surge for third Party candidacies, you have seen a rush towards cleaning out the Republican Party of those whom have drifted away from those principles and failed to stand up for them responsibly and consistently.

We are now seeing one of those rare occasions when a large majority of voters are actually pushing an ideology more than a candidate. That is what the TEA Party movement is all about. They are pushing a cause more than Party politics and as such they are helping to return the G.O.P. back to its true conservative roots by ridding it of so-called RINO’s.

But if the G.O.P. is to continue its rise back to power into 2012 and beyond, they will have to prove to the voters that some lessons have been learned. 

Given that President Obama will still be President on the morning after November 2, 2010, and that the Senate will likely still be in Democrat control, albeit with a new Majority Leader, the G.O.P. House will have to hold firm in rejecting any compromises that err on the side of increased spending, and increased government overreach.

This will prompt charges of being obstructionists and cries that attempt to describe Republicans as the “Party of no” by those on the left, but it is important to remember that those initiating such remarks are not likely to ever support Republicans anyway. But if the G.O.P. aggressively offers solid alternatives while rejecting the President’s, and the Senate’s big government, liberal agenda, people will maintain faith in the new face of the G.O.P. and that ‘Party of no” description will continue to fall on deaf ears.

When the G.O.P takes back the House, they will have to prove that they are actually ready to fight for the values that are providing them with the momentum that they currently have behind them. This will especially be the case in matters of spending and the budget, since the House, more so then the Senate controls the purse strings of the federal government.  If they flinch, and if they fail to keep their noses clean and deliver on their promised commitments, their will be little enthusiasm from the grassroots to maintain the level of support that they are currently placing behind the G.O.P..

Republicans will also have to remember a few things. First they must make sure that each issue is connected to government’s role in the everyday lives of Americans. They need to consistently demonstrate how big government is expanding its control over our personal lives but at the sake of properly dealing with its actual responsibilities such as providing a secure border and finally developing comprehensive immigration reform or balancing the federal  budget. And they must keep each of these messages simple. The same way Ronald Reagan did in both 1980 and 1984, as demonstrated in the following 1984 Reagan campaign campaign ad:

 

Keeping it simple brings it home and in 1984 Reagan brought it home with a sweep of 49 states to Mondale’s 1.

But before we get to presidential politics as it pertains to 2012, we have to establish the point from which the G.O.P. will start from after 2o10.  At the moment it looks like Republicans could far surpass the expectations of many in both the House and the Senate .

Based upon the circumstances that exist today and my own estimation of how things will play out in the individual landscapes of several hotly contested states, I see the senate tied at with 50 Republicans and the 48 Democrats plus the two left leaning Independents who caucus with the Democrats.  This includes Retaining seats in Alaska, Arizona, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Idaho,Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, and Utah while picking up seats in;

  • Arkansas   (John Boozman over Blanche Lincoln)
  • Colorado    (Ken Buck over Mike Bennet)
  • Illinois       (Mark Kirk over Alexi Giannoulias)
  • Indiana      (Dan Coats over Brad Ellsworth)
  • Nevada       (Susan Angle over Harry Reid)
  • North Dakota    (John Hoeven over Tracy Potter)
  • Pennsylvania     (Pat Toomey over Joe Sestak)
  • Washington     (Dino Rossi over Patty Murray)
  • Wisconsin      (Ron Johnson over Russ Feingold)

However; there are several possibilities which increase the likelihood of a Republican takeover of the Senate.

Any one of three races could keep Joe Biden from breaking any tie vote.  Delaware, West Virginia and/or California could very easily go Republican. 

With the surprise win by a rather large margin of Christine O’Donnell over heavily favored Mike Castle, it is not of the question to believe that under the existing anti-left atmosphere and prevailing momentum,  O’Donnell could pull off another surprise and take the seat away from the media annointed frontrunner Chris Coons.  But even more possible than a Republican upset in delaware are the possible ones that are in the making inCalifornia and surprisingly, West Virginia.

In West Virginia, popular Democrat incumbent Governor Joe Mancin was originally seen as a shoo-in. He is one of those truly rare relative moderate Democrats and as a long serving Governor of the state he has done well by its voters and bonded with them extensively. Especially after a string of mining disasters that hit this coal mining state pretty hard and very personally. But it would seem that winds of disenchantment with anything relating to Democrats are blowing so strongly against them that even Mancin’s personal relationship with voters is being severely curtailed when it comes to sending him to Washington, D.C.. For that reason, his Republican opponent John Raese went from nearly 33% at the end of July to 48% at the end of September while during that same time period, the popular Mancin went from 54% to 46% where he currently stands 2% behind underdog Raese.

The race is sure to be close and right now it can easily go either way but I believe the Republicans can pull this one off and at the moment I believe they will squeak it out.

In California, I can’t underestimate Barbara Boxer.

In her last race for the Senate, back in 2004, she beat her Republican opponent by 20% and became the holder of the record for the most popular votes in a statewide contested election in California. But this time around, things are not so easy and she wont be breaking any records with her popular vote this time around.

She currently has a disapproval rating higher than her approval rating, one of the largest newspapers in the state has refused to endorse because they believe that after 18 years in the Senate she has failed to distinguish herself in any meaningful way and that they see no reason to believe that she will do with another 6 years in office.

But this is California, a state that President Obama won by 24% or more than 3.2 million votes. But in addition to that, something else that could work in Boxer’s favor this time around is a statewide proposition to legalize marijuana. That ballot question could draw many Democrats who otherwise were not interested in voting this time around, to the polls and while there, they just might push the button for Boxer.

For her part though. Republican Carly Fiorina is holding her own, has all the money she needs to keep pushing her message and pulling out her vote and at the moment, while she is behind Boxer, by less than 6 percent, Boxer is still under the 50% mark, a place that no incumbent should be in this close to the election.

Anyone of these three seats could easily break for the Republican and give control of the Senate back to the G.O.P. and the possibility of this happening increases each day that we get closer to Election Day. But even if neither Delaware, California or West Virginia fail to Republicans, with a 50/50 split it is quite conceivable that any one of handful of Democrats could switch Parties or in the case of Independent Joe Lieberman, decide to causcus with the Republicans instead of the Democrats.

On the House side, Republican victories are even more lopsided than they are in the Senate.

In the House of Representatives Republicans could possibly end up with the largest number of seats they have held since 1946 when the GOP won 246 seats. Currently it looks like the G.O.P. can actually win at least 62 seats, thereby breaking the House down to 241 Republicans and 194 Democrats. This projection is much higher than most estimates being publicly announced which, for the most part range in the 40’s. But my projection still falls below that of Patrick Ruffini a reputable and leading G.O.P. strategist who has been in the trenches for quite some time now. Ruffiini believes that the figure will certainly be somewhere over 50 seats but believes a 70 seat gain is not out of the question.

No matter what, the results of the midterm elections will produce profound changes in the direction of policy and at the very least change the pace of the Obama agenda .

But there remains an aspect of the 2010 midterm elections which is being overshadowed by the anticipated turnover in Congress and it could have an more even more important long term effect on politics.

That is the 37 gubernatorial elections being held throughout the nation. Of them Republicans are expected to pick up at least 8 new statehouses bringing them from 23 where they are currently at, to 31, leaving Democrats with Governors in only 19 states.

That number is profoundly important because in 2011 the once every decade census data is poured over by the states and with they draw the new the state legislative a congressional districts lines from which Americans will elect their representatives for the decade to come. Having Governors in 31 states, will give the G.O.P. an advantage in drawing districts that it will be easier to elect Republicans in.

But in addition to that, Governors can play a crucial role in presidential elections.

There ability to coordinate their states for national candidates is invaluable and having that advantage over Democrats in almost a dozen states, will give whomever the Republican presidential nominee is a leg up over President Obama in 2012. Of course if 2010 proves to be as devastating for Democrats as it is looking, President Obama may not be the Democrat nominee. I feel that if Democrat losses are as profound as they are shaping up to be, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will resign her post and in time declare that she will offer a primary challenge to President Obama in order to save the Democratic Party and the nation from him.

Of course it only takes one world event to turn things around and in politics 5 weeks is an eternity. But if things continue going as they are right now, Democrats are going to descend into the political wilderness for years to come and President Obama is going to be a one term President who Republican can thank for bringing them back to power and whom Democrats will blame for squandering their opportunity to maintain control of Washington for years to come. 

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JOE WHO? JOE SCHMO?… JOE BLOW?…..OH, JOE BIDEN!

Well ladies and gentlemen , the best of Biden keep rolling on. Ever since Barack Obama forged ahead with his campaign of change by picking Joe Biden as his running mate, I knew there would be plenty of laughs ahead of us.
In Obama’s first major indication of presidential judgment reached into the beltway and tapped a member of the old boy’s network and 36 year veteran of the liberal political establishment, he proved that change was merely a slogan. Change was not reflected in his selection of old Joe. Change is not reinforced by embracing a 6 term senator who has but one significant legislative accomplishment to his name and has never stood up in opposition to his party or his party leaders. Obama’s selection of Biden for Vice President was a very telling indication of his version of change. It’s a version of change that is represented by name only.

But aside from this important revelation into Barack’s lack of judgment, I was pleased with Biden’s role on the Democrat ticket I know of Joe Biden very well and I am familiar with his foot in mouth disorder. I knew that his involvement in this years election would provide lots of humorous entertainment.

What I didn’t know was how early he would start providing us with his entertainment value It actually began within the first moments of his becoming the Vice Presidential nominee. After Obama announced his selection of Biden, Joe came bouncing out of the old state house in Illinois to address the people for the first time as a part of the ticket. He made a typical stump speech that was stepped in working class rhetoric and aimed at appealing to working class Americans. Whether it did or not remains to be seen but as Joe ended his speech he threw the stage back to the presidential nominee with an increasing crescendo that said …”our next President, Barack America”.

Well we all know that Barack Obama has a messianic complex but what we didn’t know was that it was contagious and that his running mate would catch it.

From then on Babblin’ Biden has been recording hit after hit. At a campaign rally in the battleground state of Missouri Joe demonstrated his talent for talking about what he knows not about. In his rush to sound familiar and knowledgeable of all things, Joe began to thank people for all their hard work. Not that Joe really knew who they were or what they did, but in typical talk before you think mode, Biden thanked Missouri State Senator Chuck Graham. For what, we don’t, know but there was Joe blowing his words and asking Senator Graham to stand up. He called out “stand up, Chuck, stand up”. When the six term United States senator looked away from his script and for the person he was asking to stand up, he realized he was looking at a man in a wheelchair. Much to Biden’s dismay, the wheelchair bound man in the audience was State Senator Chuck Graham.

As you can see in the video below, slow minded but quick tongued Biden said “Oh, My God, stand up for Chuck everyone”.

Biden’s best don’t stop there. At another rally Joe went off script again and he apparently forgot that the purpose of a campaign is to instill in others the faith that you are the best for the job. While trying to shore up those jilted and spurned Hillary voters for Obama, Senator Biden tried to offer some complimentary words about Senator Clinton. In doing so he stated “she’s probably better qualified for the job than me”. Ok Joe, that’s good to know, especially if you’re Sarah Palin and entering into a debate with him.

Recently Biden betrayed his own self when asked by Katie Couric what he thought about an Obama advertisement that attacked McCain for not using the internet. It was a commercial that neglected to mention that the broken bones that were incorrectly set when McCain was a P.O.W. in the Hanoi Hilton, left him without the dexterity to properly use a computer’s keyboard. In usual fashion good ol’ Joe tried to seize the moment and said that it was a terrible ad and had known about it, he never would have approved it. Aww, thanks for the compassion Joe. Too bad it wasn’t real though. Later that same day after seeing that ad for the first time, Joe remarked, “that wasn’t so bad”.

As usual, Joe responded with out knowledge. He answered a question about an advertisement that he never saw and he answered it by throwing his running mate, the nominee for President under the bus. Then he finally sees what he actually answered to and contradicts himself. What part of the ad, once Biden finally saw it, was not bad. Was it the part that tried to make McCain seem old and feeble or was it the part that poked fun of his war injuries?

The most recent placing of Joe’s foot in his mouth came in Maumee, Ohio when an activist asked why we needed coal when there were clean, effective alternatives like wind and solar, Joe said “we’re not supporting clean coal.” This came a few days after addressing supporters at a rally in Crestwod, Virginia, where Biden said “We have enough coal to meet our needs domestically for the better part of the next 100 200 years,” “That can free us from being dependent on foreign oil countries and at the same time not ruin the environment.”

I guess Joe and Barack support the use of coal only after they don’t support it or maybe they oppose it in Ohio and support it in Virgina..

Either way, it’s nice to know that I can rely on Joe. I always count on him bringing a side splitting laugh to the seriousness of politics. In fact Biden’s penchant for superfluous talking before thinking is looked forward to greatly. With the darkness of winter approaching and the seriousness of the circumstances that our world must deal with, humor is a welcome characteristic. I just don’t know if humorous stupidity is welcome within a heart beat of the presidency.

Perhaps Senator Biden will consider breaking out in a new career? I mean the entertainment world is witnessing comedian Al Franken’s foray into the political world as he runs for the United States Senate in Minnesota Maybe Franken’s temporary absence from the comedic stage can be filled in by Senator Biden. Saturday Night Live could use a new Steve Martin.

A senior Senator called a Washington, DC, airport ticket agent and had a question about the documents he needed in order to fly to China. After a lengthy discussion about passports, the agent reminded him that he needed a visa. “Oh, no I don’t. I’ve been to China many times and never had to have one of those.” the ticket agent double checked and sure enough, his stay required a visa. When she told him this he said, “Look, I’ve been to China four times and every time they have accepted my American Express!” 

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