Tag Archives: 2010 elections

Freshmen Republicans to Watch in the 112th Congress

Bookmark and Share    The freshman class of Republicans in the 112th Congress is one that could and should hold a lot of sway. Not only is it one of the largest classes, it was also elected on one of the clearest messages that voters ever sent. That message is to stop business as usual and to cut spending and the size and scope of government. This freshman class was elected to change Washington, D.C., not be changed by Washington, D.C., and for many voters this is the Republican Party’s last chance to get things right. And so, given the sentiments that swept these new lawmakers in to office, they must establish themselves by bucking both Party politics and the political establishment. They must demonstrate that they understand fiscal responsibility, limited government, states rights and a willingness to not tow the Party line when its leaders wander off path.

This will at times be hard to do. The old boy’s political network will tempt them to go along to get along and the desire for power can consume them if they forget what they were sent to Washington for. But considering the extremely strong message that sent these men and women to D.C. they will all be wise to not cave in to the traditional trappings of insider politics and Washington.

Given the caliber of many of the new faces on the Hill, there is a vary good chance that they will in fact have a dramatic, positive, impact on the 112th Congress and the legislation it produces. But of this class, I suspect that some will stand out more than others. The following are the names that are most likely to do so.

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  Justin Amash, MI-3:

This 30 year old Michigander has made a name for himself in the Michigan House of Representatives as a leading advocate for government restraint and his consistent commitment to limited government, free markets, and individual liberty. As a state representative, Amash set new standards for transparency and accountability. And was one of the first state legislators to list his office expenses, staff salaries, and legislative benefits online. He has also earned a wide following among Michigan voters for posting all of his votes, with explanations and an opportunity for interactive discussion, on his official face book page. Amash understands that we live under the rule of law and not under the rule of men and he has a command of the issues effecting our economy and liberty.

Lou Barletta, PA-11:

Lou Barletta comes to office after serving as Mayor of Hazleton, PA. There he demonstrated his expertise on economic matters and budgets but he became most known for his fight against illegal immigration. Hazleton had become ravaged by an illegal immigrant population that helped the small town’s crime rate skyrocket. Barletta went into action. In 2006, he created an ordinance that made it illegal for employers to knowingly hire illegal aliens and for landlords to knowingly rent to illegal aliens. The measure passed the Hazleton City Council but was subsequently challenged in the courts. The case still drags on to this day but in the meantime, the number of both violent and non-violent crimes in the City of Hazleton continue to decrease. Barletta is a hard nosed but cordial gentleman who is sure to take the same kind of grit and determination that he had as Mayor of Hazleton, to Washington as a Congressman.

Cory Gardner, CO-4:

Gardner is a quick witted, high energy legislator. The Denver Post calls Gardner “the GOP Idea Man,” and he has been recognized as one of the Top 40 young Republican lawmakers in the country by Rising Tide, a publication of the Republican National Committee. As a member of the Colorado State House of Representatives, Gardner was a leader on issues such as economic development, healthcare, and education. In 2007, he created the Colorado Clean Energy Authority, which has helped to bring millions of dollars in development to Colorado. With a focus on limited government, Cory Gardner believes strongly that reducing taxes is the best way to grow the economy and provide jobs. As a former leading conservative voice in the Colorado state legislature, he promises to be one in the 112th session of Congress too.

Adam Kinzinger, Il-11:

32 year old Adam Kinzinger is a Captain in the Air Force who has served in the Special Ops, Air Combat Command, Air Mobility Command, and the Air National Guard. Before his military career, at the age of 20, he challenged a twelve-year Democrat incumbent for the McLean County Board and in a campaign that focused on bringing local government back to the people, he became one of the youngest county board members in McLean County history. Today, Kinzinger has proved that he understands the value of American freedom and is committed to protecting and serving the nation both in uniform and elected office. He has the skills and drive to rise above the political noise, bring government back to the people and to create a lasting positive impact on Congress.

Allen West, Florida-22:

Lieutenant Colonel Allen West (US Army, Retired) is a Bronze Star winner who has also been awarded three Meritorious Service Medals, three Army Commendation Medals (one with Valor), and a Valorous Unit Award. With twenty years of distinguished military service, West now aims his fight on Congress where he intends to curb out of control Government spending, work for across the board tax cuts, and combat our economic woes by getting back to basics and transitioning to a flat tax system for both individuals and businesses. West is an aggressive and articulate voice for conservatism and has a deep rooted concern for the proper education of America children. Allen West knows that their opportunities can be endless with the right education and that our nation’s future depends on their ability to take advantage of those opportunities. Allen West is sure to be a thorn in the side of liberals and you can be sure that he will not sugarcoat his opposition to the left side of the aisle.

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Those are five freshmen members of the House whom you can expect to stir things up. They will be joined by several veteran G.O.P. House members who are also worth watching; incoming House Budget Committee Chairman Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, New Jersey’s Scott Garrett, Michelle Bachmann of Minnesota, Mike Pence of Indiana and Virginia’s Eric Cantor. These five individuals are probably the best chance Republicans have when it comes to keeping to the much touted, conservative pledge to America that Republicans took during the campaign of 2010. But now these five have five exceptional new voices on their side.

In the Senate, things are quite different than in the House. The rules of the Senate allow for one member of that chamber to make more of an immediate difference than House members can. Here, although Republicans remain in the minority, their increased numbers will be made quite formidable as strong conservative voices like Jim DeMint and John Thune join with the following five freshmen senators.

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Marco Rubio-FL:

 Marco is a standout among any group of people. He is a personable, bright, innovative, energetic, passionate and articulate young conservative who went through one of the toughest and longest campaigns of 2010. For much of the race he was the underdog and not the establishment choice. But patience and perseverance allowed him to prevail as he convincingly persuaded fellow Floridians to the commonsense, conservative cause. A son of Cuban exiles, Marco is an important voice in the Republican Party for Hispanic voters and his ability to attract voters of all persuasions is going to continue to make him an important player in national politics, especially national Republican politics.

Pat Toomey-PA:

This former leader of the Club for Growth is probably going to be one of the most ardent deficit hawks the senate has ever seen. He will be a perfect partner with South Carolina’s Jim DeMint in the cause of fiscal responsibility and limited government. Toomey will most definitely be a strict constitutionalist who will have no problem standing up to his fellow Republicans and most definitely not any Democrat, including President Obama.

 

Ron Johnson-WI:

Johnson was one of those TEA Party backed candidates who came out of nowhere to slay a liberal giant—Russ Feingold. His campaign was not the best but voter sentiment in Wisconsin was so soured by the direction that the country was going in that they wanted a definite change. Politically unencumbered, fresh faced, conservative, businessman Ron Johnson proved to be the man that Wisconsin voters saw fit to deliver that change. Expect Johnson to take some time getting his feet wet in Washington, but very soon he will be demonstrating a hard-line on budgetary matters and a very valuable independent streak.

Rand Paul-KY:

Rand Paul is another candidate whose race was particularly hard fought. He was also not originally the establishment choice but strong conservative support and energetic TEA Party backing pushed Rand Paul over the top in the end. Rand has many of the more appealing libertarian tendencies of his well known father, Texas Congressman Ron Paul but is a bit more pragmatic. Rand believes in a strong national defense and understand that the defense of the nation is the federal government’s number 1 priority. He insists that funding of the United Nations becomes voluntary, thereby demonstrating a true and accurate level of commitment of individual member states to the U.N.’s success. He also believes that the United States should withdraw from and stop funding those U.N. programs that undermine legitimate American interests. On the economy, Paul is a true free marketer who views the World Bank and International Monetary Fund as having “outlived their usefulness” and harmful to global economic development. Rand Paul is a staunch proponent of spending cuts, balancing the budget, and lowering taxes. Expect Rand to be a very loud voice and major critic of both Parties and the process they often abuse.

Rob Portman-OH:

Like Marco Rubio, Rob Portman is made of presidential timber. He is an experienced legislator and previously served in two separate presidential cabinet offices—–U.S. Trade Representative and Director of the Office of Management and Budget. During his tenure at OMB, the deficit was cut in half. Portman is experienced, accomplished, and when it comes to the federal budget, he is a persistent hawk who has proposed balanced budgets, the creation of new federal spending transparency laws, and fought hard against irresponsible earmarks. In the senate, expect Rob Portman to be a go-to guy on fiscal matters and a leader in the budget process that is growing in importance as well as debt.

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Only time will truly tell how well these 10 incoming legislators will really do but if they show the same kind of stamina, values and sincerity that they have in the past, they will go a long way in bringing the type of real change that Congress and the nation needs.

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Big Differences Between Socialist Rallies and Conservative Protests

Bookmark and Share    This past weekend the left held what was considered a reactionary rally in Washington D.C. that was viewed by many as a response to the more than year long trend of TEA Party rallies which were held throughout the nation and seem to be culminating in a Election Day that will ignite the establishment of a conservative rebirth of sorts. The entity behind the rally was actually an umbrella group of left wing organizations and radical socialist affiliations combined with the leadership of many big unions, most notably, the SEIU and NEA.

National Mall After A TEA Party Rally

The speakers were a grab bag of obscure self described revolutionaries and Democrat loyalists of the most liberal persuasion. They included people such as New Jersey Senator Bob Menendez, NAACP President Ben Jealous, the Rev. Al Sharpton, MSNBC commentator Ed Schultz, Rev. Jesse Jackson, AFL-CIO President Richard Trumka, rapper Black Ice, NEA President Randy Weingarten, Urban League President Marc Morial, United Auto Workers chief Bob King and president of the Service Employees International Union, Mary Kay Henry.

National Mall After the Liberal One Nation Working Together Rally

In a strange hypocritical twist though, Democrats did not accuse the thousands of people who joined their rally by taking busses paid for by unions and liberal entities behind the Democrat Party, of being “astroturfers”. For some reason, the union paid and organized energy of the left is real, but the independent efforts of conservative thinking people are described by Democrats as fake .

For months the left has tried to define the TEA movement as a Republican attempt to exaggerate disenchantment with Democrat policies. But the vast majority of the hundreds of thousands that attended last year‘s, 9/12 rally in D.C. were not paid for by the money of the big union CEO’s, or national liberal propaganda machines. Those who attended the 9/12 rally from places like San Diego, California and Helena, Montana or Clearwater Florida and Roanoake, Virginia, packed their own cars or paid for their own bus tickets with the money they earned.

But the hypocrisy of the left aside, there were several important differences between the character and ideological thinking of the TEA movement and liberal activists.

While the professional politically organized One Nation Working Together rally heard speaker after speaker call upon the federal government to answer all our problems, the citizen organized rallies of the TEA movement heard speaker after speaker discuss the need for accountability, personal responsibility, and for the federal government to stop causing all our problems.

The different approaches help highlight my reason for equating today’s liberal dominated Democrat Party with socialism, a political system that would have production and distribution controlled by the government in the name of the people but without actually being done by the people. And few events helped prove my point more than the one Nation Working Together, big union gathering we saw this past weekend.

In many ways, the event and its participants celebrated and promoted one thing—–socialism. And not just indirectly. As evidence in the video below, it was proudly and blatantly promoted in blunt, straightforward language. But aside from the extreme ideological differences in the crowds of the One Nation rally and the TEA Party protests, were the size of the crowds and the character of those in attendance.

Despite the union paid busses and organized drive of The One Nation Working Together get out the vote rally, all of the TEA protests in D.C. since 9/12 of last year, produced incredibly larger numbers than did the One Nation event. This exemplifies the enthusiasm gap that exists between the left and right as we approach Election Day. But another telling detail was the condition that the left wing One Nation rally and the conservative TEA protests left the respective locations of their events when they were done.

In the case of the much larger TEA events, it has actually been said that when the crowds at each one of their events left, the locations they gathered at were left cleaner than they were before the TEA activists arrived. Not so for the liberal rally though. After their small group of dedicated socialists left the Mall, it was strewn with litter ranging from hate filled pamphlets calling for socialist revolution, to hand written signs blaming the President of two years ago for the Obama economy of today.  (See below)

The difference here measures the mindset of the two different groups. The conservative based TEA activists who want less government control, took it upon themselves to be clean and clean up after themselves. The union based liberal establishment which is demanding that government do more and control more of our lives, disrespectfully discarded their waste on the ground of wherever they stood and left it behind to be cleaned up by ‘government‘. But what these callous, careless and thoughtless group of paid, hypocritical hacks neglected to realize was that the mess they were leaving for the government to clean up was actually being done so by their fellow workers of America and unionized public service workers.

The situation exemplifies the thinking behind each ideology. One ideology seeks to be respectful and decent as they act responsibly. The other side acts with irresponsible disregard for others and a despicably disrespectful . One side, the conservative side, cleans up, while the other side, the liberal side, leaves a mess behind. For me, the symbolism is a powerful reference to not only how divergent the Democrat and Republican ideologies are, but of which one offers a better model for success in America.

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Republican Tells Pelosi To “Give Me That Damn Gavel”

Bookmark and Share    I have to say that I find Florida is really beginning to impress me insofar as the type and quality of patriots and genuine conservative Republicans that they are putting out on the campaign trail.

For quite sometime now, I have been a supporter and diehard fan of Marco Rubio, the young former speaker of the Florida state legislature and conservative underdog who is running for the Republican U.S. Senate nomination against popular incumbent Republican Governor Charlie Crist. Rubio represent the next generation of real Republicans and if given the chance will soon emerge as a leader of not just a political Party but the nation. So far his campaign has been a “Rocky-like” story that has Rubio doing to Crist what Rocky did to Apollo Creed, but in this case Rubio is likely to be the winner by a knock out.

With a way to go yet, Rubio has so far shocked the political establishment and is currently ahead of Governor Crist by as much as more than 25% in some polls.

But beyond Marco Rubio, Florida has several other outstanding candidates running for various offices such as Bill McCollum who is seeking to become the next Governor of the Sunshine State. But one of the most stellar candidates to come out of Florida is a candidate for the House of Representatives from the 22nd congressional district.

Lieutenant Colonel Allen West (US Army, Retired), is the Republican who will be opposing liberal Democrat Ron Klein and he is dying for the opportunity in January of 2011, to look Nancy Pelosi in the eye and say…“give me that damn gavel!”

Allen West describes his plight as one that is fighting the “dishonest tyranny” of an Administration that will lie while saying that all they are doing is for the betterment of the people when all they are really doing is “making us slaves.”

And while Allen West opposes this Administration and their radical liberal agenda, his opponent, incumbent Ron Klein, can be described as nothing other than a undistinguished, knee-jerk, big government, tax and spend liberal who has never opposed an idea or piece of legislation that his master Nancy Pelosi has thrown down for him to approve. Klein is truly nothing special and his only hold on to his congressional seat is based upon the gerrymandering that created his district along the lines of predominantly Democrat registered populations. But under the existing political environment, the most positive characterization that one can claim of Klein’s chances of getting reelected to his once safe seat, is to place his election contest in the “leans Democrat” column.

Part of the reason for the unusually competitive race facing Congressman Klein, is his opponent, Lt. Col. Allen West.

In his military career, West served in several combat zones, including in Operation Desert Storm, Operation Iraqi Freedom, where he was battalion commander for the Army’s 4th Infantry Division, and in Afghanistan, where he trained Afghan officers to take on the responsibility of securing their own country.

His service, talent and dedication earned a Bronze Star, three Meritorious Service Medals, three Army Commendation Medals (one with Valor), and a Valorous Unit Award, he received his valor award as a Captain in Desert Shield/Storm, was the US Army ROTC Instructor of the Year in 1993, and was a Distinguished Honor Graduate III Corps Assault School. He proudly wears the Army Master parachutist badge, Air Assault badge, Navy/Marine Corps parachutist insignia, Italian parachutist wings, and German proficiency badge (Bronze award).

But beyond his military career, West has the experience of a lifetime of conservative values that have propelled him and his family to independence and success and now he intends to bring that experience to Congress.

On the issues, West is a fiscal conservative with his own ideas on how to properly reform healthcare and reduce federal spending and the size of government, reform our tax structure and adopt a flat tax , stimulate the economy and create jobs through the private sector, initiate strong anti-illegal immigration enforcement and policies and seek to have the U.S. Border Patrol placed under the Department of Defense so that proper training, equipping, and better personnel resourcing can be provided and allow for a lateral transfer of members of the military, with experience in Iraq and Afghanistan, into the USBP for their expertise. West emphasizes that last proposal by making it clear that he does not trust our homeland security under Janet Napolitano.

In addition to being a strong and innovative leader for and of the people, Allen West knows how to present his case and seems to thrive on the prospect of any challenge, on any issue, that his opponent might want to address.

Currently, liberal fears of losing Klein’s seat have the hidden prejudices of the left rearing its ugly head. West is African-American and as he points out in the video clip provided with this post, they have been calling him everything from a traitor and an Oreo to an Uncle Tom. Such disrespect and hate is certainly not something that a hero and patriot like Lt. Col. West should have to endure. But the conduct of the left is simply a sign of the fear which is forcing them to show their true selves and it is not pretty.

But West is undeterred.

Knowledgeable, convincing, passionate, articulate and quite commanding, Allen West is a dynamo on the campaign trail. If he can raise the money to compete with the financial resources that the liberal lobby of special interests and big unions finances Klein with, West could just pull off one of those surprise wins that helps get Republicans closer to taking control of the House back from Democrats. But what’s more is, West won’t just be another Republican vote. He is the type of leader who will not be seduced by Party powerbrokers or impressed with leadership titles. His entire adult life has been spent defying the forces that oppose him and after having stood up to entire brigades of enemy military combatants, I doubt there is question in that someone like Republican minority leader John Boehner will easily intimidate Lt. Col. West.

Like Marco Rubio in his race for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate, West’s race for the Florida’s 22nd Congressional District seat is an uphill battle but West has been climbing and conquering hills his whole life. So this race may be tough but with Allen West as his opponent, this time around, it won’t be any easier for Klein either.

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A Perfect Political Storm Is Brewing In New York

Bookmark and Share    A perfect storm is a unique combination of circumstances that allow two or more weather fronts to meet and mix with a moisture rich air mass. The perfect timing and combination often produce storms of unprecedented power and devastation. Although the term is often reserved for meteorological references, it can also be applied to events unrelated to weather. For instance, the recent events that allowed a Republican to be elected to the U.S. Senate in Massachusetts is a prime example of a metaphorical use of the phrase “perfect storm”. A unique set of circumstances that brought voter dissatisfaction, and a perceived liberal arrogance together with a good Republican candidate and a bad Democrat candidate, made for a perfect storm that emaciated the filibuster-proof majority that Democrats held over the nation.

That same type of perfect storm is brewing in the political atmosphere of New York State. It takes a vulnerable liberal incumbent, an aggressive former Tennessee Congressman and a former Republican Congresswoman and puts them together to create a scenario that, if all the timing is right, could make for a scenario that recreates in New York, the same type of political Nor’ Easter that we saw in Massachusetts.

After being picked to fill Hillary Clinton’s vacated senate seat by New York’s unpopular Governor David Paterson, Kirsten Gillibrand is seen as one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the U.S. Senate. Ironically her vulnerabilities are more exposed among fellow Democrats than  it is with the loyal Republican opposition.

Initially, Gillibrand is most vulnerable to fellow Democrats who want to be the next U.S. Senator from New York.

Gillibrand remains largely unknown as a Senator. So far she has failed to become the champion of any issue and being picked by an unpopular Governor is not helping her. That is why everyone who is anyone looked at challenging her for the Democrat nomination.

Congressman Steve Israel was looking at launching his candidacy. So were several other state figures. But at the behest of President Obama, they all bowed out. The White House does not want to lose what is currently  a safe seat because of a bloody primary battle. This was especially the case when it looked like the most popular Republican in the state, Rudy Giuliani might be the G.O.P. nominee against Gillibrand. But Giuliani declined to run, again. That essentially left the road to winning the general election clear for Gillibrand……..so long as she was not dragged through the mud in a primary.

The White House did a good job at discouraging competition. Most New York Democrats heeded the President’s  advice and dropped any challenge to Kirsten Gillibrand. All except for one……former Tennessee Congressman Harold Ford.

Ford is actually using his disobedience with the White House to his advantage. After getting much attention regarding his possible challenge to Senator Gillibrand, President Obama went very public in trying to deter Ford from actually running. But as Ford embarks on his” listening tour” of the state, he is taking that very public presidential demand and telling people that he will be an independent leader who will not take orders from anyone, including his fellow Democrat, President Obama.

Ford has billed his listening tour as a tool to help him to decide on whether or not he will run. But while shaking hands at a diner in Tappan, New York, he introduced himself by saying “I’m Harold Ford and I’m running for the U.S. Senate”. This Freudian slip was repeated quite a few times and each time, after he let the cat out of the bag, he quickly corrected himself and stated, “I’m thinking about running for the U.S. Senate”.

So it looks like Ford is actually going for it. He is just going through the motions at the moment and using the suspense to get a great deal of free publicity and exposure.

I did not think Ford would actually go through with a primary challenge to Gillibrand. Despite her low name I.D. and less than stellar approval ratings, Gillibrand’s negative ratings are among the lowest of any Democrat in the state and in just one year’s time, she has built quite a large war chest. With over $7 million raised since last February, she has raised more than any other senators with the exceptoion  of Democrat Majority Leader Harry Reid and her New York colleague, the state’s senior senator, Chuck Schumer.

Given her support from the President along with her potential for getting her numbers up and her hefty fundraising abilities, I did not think Harold Ford would go for it. Especially given the fact that he will be labeled as a carpetbagger.

But Ford is extraordinarily power hungry. That is why he is no longer a Congressman from Tennessee. He gave that seat up when he chose to try to move up the political ladder by running for the U.S. Senate in that state.        He lost.

The decision to run for that senate seat came shortly after Ford tried to became the Democrat leader of the House of Representatives.

He ran against Nancy Pelosi.         He lost that too.

So now, with his Tennessee political fortunes exhausted, he moved to New York where he became a consultant for Merrill Lynch. That Wall Street name will be something that won’t help him if he does run. But I believe Harold understands that he could overcome that negative by going with the anti-incumbency sentiments and existing anger with the establishment. President Obama’s public attempt to discourage Harold Ford from running simply adds to this strategy. That is why Ford just might be able to get a lot of traction by claiming that he will not take orders from anyone.

If President Obama’s approval ratings continue to drop, and fails to even inspire Democrats, as was the case in Massachusetts, New Jersey and Virginia, Ford’s opposing the President’s wishes will be to his advantage.

It is a gamble, but Harold Ford, Jr. is banking on distancing himself from President Obama and while he makes a run  from the President and to the left of the political spectrum, he will hype up the fact that Kirsten Gillibrand is the President’s senator but he will be the people’s senator. The scenario is interesting and very plausible. But essential to it working will be Ford’s fundraising ability.

Winning the Democrat nomination for statewide office in New York is currently viewed as the real fight, because with Rudy out, there is little chance of a Republican winning. Unless of course the Democrat primary between Ford and Gillibrand leaves the winner bloody. If that happens, whether the nominee be Gillibrand or Ford, one Republican might be able to turn things around.

Former Governor George Pataki is considering a run. Against Gillibrand, he could possibly pull it off, but if his opponent were to be the independent minded Harold Ford,  Pataki’s chances are diminished greatly. But Pataki is not the potential game changer. That person is former Congresswoman Susan Molinari.

Susan is the daughter of long serving, popular, former Republican New York Congressman Guy Molinari. When Guy did not get a position in President George H. W. Bush’s administration, he retired from Congress. Back then President Bush told Guy that he could not afford losing him in the House. Leaving was Guy’s way of saying “screw you”. So off he went. Guy then went on to become Borough President of Staten Island, the most Republican of New York City’s five counties. Replacing Guy in Congress was his daughter, City Councilwoman Susan Molinari.

For the longest time, Susan was the only Republican in the New York City Council and as such was already fairly well known. But after serving in Congress she soon became a darling of the Party.

Moderate in her politics, Susan played up her pro-choice stance with liberals and women while simultaneously playing up her defense and fiscal policies with conservatives. Both had an appreciation of her. But in 1997 after marrying Buffalo, New York’s former Congressman, Bill Paxon, Susan decided not to run for a urth term in Congress.

Now she is thinking about coming out of retirement.

Her father has said that after no star candidate emerged to challenge Gillibrand, “All of a sudden I think, the best candidate in the entire country is my daughter”.

I know Susan, and I can tell you right now that she is not “the best candidate in the entire country”, but she could be one of the best positioned Republican candidates in New York to take a U.S. Senate seat away from Democrats.

If a bloody Gillibrand is the inevitable nominee, Susan will help to split the women’s vote, especially suburban soccer Moms. If Ford is the badly bruised winner of the primary, he will have severely depleted his campaign war chest and he will have also gone through a campaign that will surely have labeled him an outsider. Put up against native New Yorker, Susan Molinari, who can easily raise a substantial campaign fund, Tennessee Ford will find himself having a tough time beating her. Molinari will, again, get a substantial number of votes from women, she will hold down Democrat numbers coming out of New York City and she will be able to go toe to toe with Ford on who is more independent. In addition to all that, Harry will also have a tough time reconciling the more liberal  Harold Ford of New York’s 2010  senate race, with the more conservative Harold Ford who ran in 2006 for the U.S. Senate from Tennessee.  Many of his positions hav changed.  Gay marriage is just one example.  Among the more conservative Tennessee electorate, Harry was opposed to same sex marriage.  Now, among more liberal New Yorkers, he is for same sex marriage.  Which Ford would New Yorkers really be getting? 

Kirsten Gillibrand will have all this amunition too but here’s where another part of this perfect storm comes into play.

Governor Paterson is African-American.  He is going to be challenged for the gubernatorial  nomination by Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, an Itsalian-American.  This situation is going to have an effect on a Gillibrand-Ford race. 

Paterson is currently expected to lose to Cuomo, but one thing is for sure. Race will play a role and  African-American New Yorker’s will be coming out for Governor Paterson.   

While at the polls,  a great many of them are likely to cast their senate primary vote for Harold Ford, Jr., who is also African-American.  So no matter how much Gillibrand may attack Ford for flip-flopping, Ford can count on attratcing many black voters away from Gillibrand.

 As a Republican, I for one do hope that Ford runs. By making a strong bid for the Democrat nomination, he will do much more good for the G.O.P. than he will for Democrats and if he wins that nomination, he will make it pretty easy for Susan Molinari to walk right up the middle and into the senate chambers of Washington, D.C..

Now all Republicans have to do is make sure that Susan Molinari becomes their nominee. If she does, New York might pull off a Massachusetts-like surprise that will add to the already substantial gains in Congress that Republicans are heading towards. But one without the other will not work. If Republicans don’t properly seed the storm clouds, their electoral drought will be long lasting.

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President Stirs The Pot In New York and Takes Sides In Race For Governor

Bookmark and Share    President Obama spent the day in New York. With a scheduled appearance at opening ceremonies of the United Nations general assembly, the President made the most of his time in the state. He had a scheduled speech on the economy in upstate New York, a private reception, his appearance at the U.N. and finally, President turns on Governoran appearance on the David Letterman Show in the old Ed Sullivan theater.

On Letterman he will continue to make his pitch for government control of health management and care but so far, of most interest is not his appearance on Letterman or his appearance at the U.N.. The most interesting part of the President’s New York field trip hasn’t even been what he said as he delivered a speech on the economy which discussed making investments in education and research. What is most noteworthy on this trip are the telling signs of a President trying to make sure that the wheels don’t fall off his bandwagon as the 2010 midterm elections approach.

After reports that the President wants New York Governor David Paterson to drop efforts to keep his job surfaced on Sunday, signs of that desire revealed itself even more on Monday.

Before delivering his speech in Troy, New York, President Obama began by acknowledging the presence of dignitaries in the audience. He stated, Governor David Paterson is in the house and went on to simply say “he’s a wonderful man”. That statement was quickly followed by the mention of State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo’s presence. But unlike with Paterson who President Obama called a wonderful man, in referencing Cuomo, the President went into a glowing description of Cuomo which included statements such as “ he is doing great work for the people of New York”.

With Paterson mired in plummeting poll numbers, Andrew Cuomo is seen by the White House as a much better name to head up the Democrat ticket in New York next year. Reports claimed that the President so much as sent that message to Governor Paterson, who when asked if that was true, responded that he has spoken to the White House but will not reveal the details of any private conversations. Paterson did add that he was running for Governor regardless of any speculation.

The fact that the White House would step into a developing intra-party battle for a nomination is not a normal occurrence. Even more unusual here is the fact that David Paterson is one of only two African-American governors in the country. The sensitivities of that fact would normally prompt praise and encouragement, especially for a man who took the reigns of control after a scandal that rocked New York.

The uniqueness of the White House’s attempt to push Paterson out can only be due to fears that the upcoming 2010 midterm elections are going to be devastating to the administration and the Democrat Party nationwide. Not only is there the risk of losing seats in the House of Representatives but there exists a great risk of losing several seats in the U.S. Senate. Most prominent of all being the election to fill out Secretary of State Clinton’s New York Senate seat.

That seat is currently being kept warm by the Kristen Gillibrand, the hand picked choice of Governor Paterson. Her maintaining the seat could be in jeopardy if a Cuomo vs. Paterson primary for governor took place. Such a race could prompt a primary for the Democrat nomination against Gillibrand and her being seen as Paterson’s candidate will not help her win.

Another factor that would come into play if Paterson were to primary Cuomo is race. Many African-Americans could split their support and if Paterson were to lose, there is the risk that many African-American voters would hold Cuomo responsible for that loss and stay at home during the general election. That would severely suppress the vote totals for Democrats in all races for Senate and Congress, thereby allowing viable Republican candidates the chance to pull together higher vote totals than their Democrat opponents.

All of this obviously deeply concerns President Obama. So much so that he is throwing Governor David Paterson under the bus and taking unprecedented steps to stop the hemorrhaging that they expect in 2010.

With no comment from the President on what he did or didn’t tell Governor Paterson, the President’s effusive praise of Cuomo and tepid acknowledgment of David Paterson said much more than his words.

If that was not enough of a sign that the President wants to push Paterson out of office, after his speech on the economy the President held a private reception. Invited to it was Andrew Cuomo. Conveniently not invited was Governor Paterson.

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