The seat, a long held Republican seat since 1871, was previously held by Republican Congressman John McHugh. McHugh however was appointed by President Obama to become The United States’ Secretary of the Army.
At the moment though, things do not look good for republicans in the 23rd.
Unnamed sources from within the National Republican Congressional Committee, who wish to remain anonymous, have indicated that the NRCC is pulling their time and a substantial portion of their money out of the 23rd Congressional district, leaving their Republican congressional, Dede Scozzafava to fend for herself in the remaining few days left in the campaign.
Apparently Scozzafava’s numbers are fading and possibly so much so that the NRCC does not want top waste precious resources on what they may now be seeing as a lost cause.
On the other hand the NRCC has decided to end their active support for Scozzafava and swing it south to New Jersey where the GOP is hoping to force Democrat Governor Jon Corzine into retirement and replace him with Republican Chris Christie. This shuffling of resources from one to the other is a sign that while Scozzafava is floundering in New York, Chris Christie is showing signs of life in New Jersey. This view helps to confirm indications that, since Thursday, the very large undecided vote in the Garden State has been breaking towards Chris Christie.
As for the 23rd Congressional District in New York, the NRCC has apparently stopped airing ads that they were running against conservative Doug Hoffman and they have also stopped running ads positive ads on Dede Scozzafava. The only airtime they have is dedicated to negative ads against Democrat Bill Owens.
This and the switching of on the ground manpower from North to South suggests that Republicans are feeling good about the chances of pulling off a win for Governor of New Jersey, and not so good about the chances of Dede Scozzafava.
The Republican establishment nominated Dede Scozzofava to run for the vacant congressional seat and for many, it was a horrible choice. Her Irish sounding name (just a joke) is not the problem. It is the fact that Scozzafava is not a Republican. She is a liberal turned Democrat in Republican clothes, otherwise known as a DIABLO, (Democrat In All But Label Only). As an Assemblywoman Scozzafava has a record as an abortion rights activists, has supported massive tax increases, the budgets of New York State Democrats and made her support for a $180 million state bank bailout and trillion-dollar federal stimulus.
Scozzafava also supports “Card Check” and ACORN and has strong ties with ACORN leaders. On top of that, in previous elections, Scozzafava proudly accepted the nomination and line of the Working Family Party, a socialist political party.
None of this hints of Republicanism and it has inflamed real Republicans throughout the nation. Many have begun to oppose the rank and file establishment Republicans and refused to support Scozzafava. Instead they have dedicated their time, energy and resources to Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate for Congress in the 23rd district. The split has wound up making Democrats competitive here for the first time in almost 150 years.
Some polls place Democrat Bill Owens ahead by as much as 5% and as little as 1%. Two polls have conservative Hoffman winning by. One by 5% and the other by 4%. Scozzafava on the other hand, is leading in three different polls from as much as 9% to as little as 3%.
The Election Slide would seem to indicate that if anything, Republicans are beginning to believe that Hoffman and Owens are the men to beat and Scozzafava may not be the person to do that.