Republicans Do The Election Slide & Shift From Scozzafava To Christie

Bookmark and Share    One of the most intense and controversial races taking place this Tuesday is in New York State, where on November dancing_elephant3rd, a special election will be held to fill a vacancy for Congress in the 23rd Congressional district.

The seat, a long held Republican seat since 1871, was previously held by Republican Congressman John McHugh. McHugh however was appointed by President Obama to become The United States’ Secretary of the Army.

At the moment though, things do not look good for republicans in the 23rd.

election slideUnnamed sources from within the National Republican Congressional Committee, who wish to remain anonymous, have indicated that the NRCC is pulling their time and a substantial portion of their money out of the 23rd Congressional district, leaving their Republican congressional, Dede Scozzafava to fend for herself in the remaining few days left in the campaign.

Apparently Scozzafava’s numbers are fading and possibly so much so that the NRCC does not want top waste precious resources on what they may now be seeing as a lost cause.

scozzafavaOn the other hand the NRCC  has decided to end their active support for Scozzafava and swing it south to New Jersey where the GOP is hoping to force Democrat Governor Jon Corzine into retirement and replace him with Republican Chris Christie. This shuffling of resources from one to the other is a sign that while Scozzafava is floundering in New York, Chris Christie is showing signs of life in New Jersey. This view helps to confirm indications that, since Thursday, the very large undecided vote in the Garden State has been breaking towards Chris Christie.

As for the 23rd Congressional District in New York, the NRCC has apparently stopped airing ads that they were running against conservative Doug Hoffman and they have also stopped running ads positive ads on Dede Scozzafava. The only airtime they have is dedicated to negative ads against Democrat Bill Owens.

Christie picking up his leadAccording to Erik Erikson at Redstate, “The NRCC tells me directly that they are only spending money on anti-Owens ads”

This and the switching of on the ground manpower from North to South suggests that Republicans are feeling good about the chances of pulling off a win for Governor of New Jersey, and not so good about the chances of Dede Scozzafava.

 

The Republican establishment nominated Dede Scozzofava to run for the vacant congressional seat and for many, it was a horrible choice. Her Irish sounding name (just a joke) is not the problem. It is the fact that Scozzafava is not a Republican. She is a liberal turned Democrat in Republican clothes, otherwise known as a DIABLO, (Democrat In All But Label Only). As an Assemblywoman Scozzafava has a record as an abortion rights activists, has supported massive tax increases, the budgets of New York State Democrats and made her support for a $180 million state bank bailout and trillion-dollar federal stimulus.

Scozzafava also supports “Card Check” and ACORN and has strong ties with ACORN leaders. On top of that, in previous elections, Scozzafava proudly accepted the nomination and line of the Working Family Party, a socialist political party.

None of this hints of Republicanism and it has inflamed real Republicans throughout the nation. Many have begun to oppose the rank and file establishment Republicans and refused to support Scozzafava. Instead they have dedicated their time, energy and resources to Doug Hoffman, the Conservative Party candidate for Congress in the 23rd district. The split has wound up making Democrats competitive here for the first time in almost 150 years.

Some polls place Democrat Bill Owens ahead by as much as 5% and as little as 1%. Two polls have conservative Hoffman winning by. One by 5% and the other by 4%. Scozzafava on the other hand, is leading in three different polls from as much as 9% to as little as 3%.

The Election Slide  would seem to indicate that if anything, Republicans are beginning to believe that Hoffman and Owens are the men to beat and Scozzafava may not be the person to do that.

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2 Comments

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2 responses to “Republicans Do The Election Slide & Shift From Scozzafava To Christie

  1. This is the same claim that liberal minded hopefuls have maintained for almost two decades now. But true to the inherent hypocrisy that liberals apply to all things real, they fail to admit to the responsibility that the base of the Democrat Party, a hardcore, leftist liberal base, has for killing off the long term dominance of their party. The recent rise to power of Democrats was not becvause people love threir liberalism. It was because the Republican Party did not offer a conservative alternative amnd in the past 3 or more years conservatives in office, failed to lead like conservatives. The combination of these two factors accounted for the vistory of a Democrat who ran as a moderate but is now proving to be a liberal extremist.

    Your focus on a minority of radical religious extremists is nothing new. It is not some new found theory. It is an old one which has been disproven everytime the opposortunity has presented itself. First of all, your focus is misplaced and to be blunt, a lie. You suggest that most Repuiblicans are Pat Robertson sheep leading extyremists. That is quite far from the truth. Furthermore, of the 42 percent of the American population which claim to be conservative, less than one fouth of them are fundamentalist Christians and Evangelicals. At the same time, 40% of the American population consider themselves moderate whil only 18 percent considedr themselves liberal.

    So despite your claim, Republicans are not being pushed out of the party. Republicans who act like liberfals are being defeated though. They are being defeated by individuals who maintain Republican principles along with the Republican label that they wear.

    As for seeing a shift from the two party system as we know it. The nation has been seeing this rise of third parties and waiting for third parties to take over since the 1930’s when socialist party’s made a run for office. Problem is that since 1930, no third party has had the ability to coordinate and organize themseleves, notr have they had the ability to shape a message that resonates with most Americans. The closest we came may have been in 1992 when Ross Perot’s Independent campaign gather a percentage of the national vote in the teens. This effectively delivered the election to B.J. Clinton and subsequently, like all third party efforts before it, fizzled into obscurity.

    So although Iwill not claim that third party politics is impossible, I will say that, until they can prove to be competent enough to run themselves effectively, I will not give my support to run the nation effectively.

  2. I suspect that the evangelical dominance in the Republican Party will result in the party being relegated to a third party. I wonder if we may see a shift from the two parties we have known? At any rate, if traditional republicans are leaving, it is not because they have suddenly become democrats. Rather, they are being pushed out. I have posted that this will hurt the GOP. See: http://euandus3.wordpress.com/2009/11/02/the-republican-party-writing-itself-into-a-corner/

    You might be interested in this article: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/33583328/ns/politics-more_politics/

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